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Optimal exchange rate?


GW Noob.6038

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@"GW Noob.6038" said:What is the best Gem/Gold exchange rate that you've seen in the past 3-4 months? Realistically, what should I be shooting for?

Gems to Gold: slightly above 1,000 gems for 250 gold just a couple of days ago.

A "good" gems-to-gold exchange rate is always around 1,200 or below. The current rate is 1,108. :+1:

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As a general rule when new stuff comes out on the gem store, or items are discounted, the exchange rate goes up - making gems bought with gold more expensive and gold bought with gems cheaper. It goes down in the gaps between big gem store sales/promotions or on rare occasions when a lot of people want a lot of gold, like shortly after Path of Fire was released when a lot of people wanted gold for the griffon mount.

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I know you asked about gems→gold, but I mostly look at the other direction. Here are some observations not captured above:

  • It's worth checking whenever you have an idle moment. The rate varies drastically sometimes in ways not captured on the graph linked above (see why below). And I have found bargain rates that last under an hour before things go back to equilibrium.
  • That equilibrium has been surprisingly consistent for about 30 months and it's only modestly different from a previous equilibrium. In other words, it's been going up & down, but always returning to a similar price.
  • The primary things that drive the rate up are: new items, discounts on black lion keys, the two-month WvW linkages changes, new MountFits, new or returning Wings, something new in the BL chest that is account bound.
  • The primary downward drivers are: December (people getting gift cards for presents), discount on the price of the game (people buy the deluxe edition and convert gems to gold), something new in game that costs gold (so people convert gems in bulk to pay for it), and a lack of new things in the gem shop.

Problems with the Spidy GraphSpidy has had huge periods in its history when it didn't collect gem:gold data and some shorter periods when it collected inaccurate data. It also didn't always collect the data as frequently. As a result, it has some issues.(Most of that has been fixed, so Spidy is now in better shape; it's still a good website and the wiki still includes links to it, in its item info boxes.)

GW2 TP has an alternative graph which I use instead.https://www.gw2tp.com/gems

Both graphs collect gold:gem data less often than they collect item data (for a variety of reasons), so the graphs miss nuance, which turns out to happen every week. There are people who claim that there's a pattern that relates to EU waking up or NA region going to bed, or usual paydays (like the 1st of the month or Fridays, etc). However, in my time tracking, I think it's just coincidence. I've seen spikes happen when there's no obvious external cause and those are less common than steep declines. I suspect what happens is someone on a website somewhere mentions something that causes a lot of people to suddenly decide to convert, causing a big change in the rate. But... that's just as speculative.

The short of it is: I've found amazing bargains for converting gold to gems just by checking at an odd time, while waiting for a friend to finish salvaging or to get off the phone.


For what it's worth, my observations for 'recent' gold:gem numbers (which you can see when you select the conversion tab):

  • 110-115 gold per 400 gems is typical and I don't recommend bargain hunters convert when the rate is worse
  • 160 gold is the highest I can remember in a particular moment. 145g is highest I've seen sustain itself for more than an hour or two.
  • 93 gold is lowest I remember, with 100-105 being a typical low rate for an extended period of time.
  • High rates take longer to drop to equilibrium than low rates take to return and rates spike higher more quickly than they crash.
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@crepuscular.9047 said:

@crepuscular.9047 said:it would never go back down to that level unless anet nerfs every single farming maps

Down to what level? I've bought 400 gems for under 100 gold this year (it's just really unusual); 105-110 gold per 400 gems is more common.

under 70g

Ah fair enough. There just wasn't a context to your comment, and mine was the post just before yours, so I thought you were referring to 90g per 400 gold (which I have seen recently, albeit briefly).

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